Anyone Follow Horse Racing?

[Pokerkitty6]

I haven't really seen alot of the top horses, but I have sat with some of the owners at the bar. It amazes me that some of the owners do not even know their horse will be scrated until post time. Good Luck with the Breeder's Cup October 25th!!!!!

[klinkman]

The finish to this race is amazing, I've never seen anything like it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFMzs...eature=related

[nodepositneeded]

What a wild one!

[klinkman]

Free Equibase Past Performances Here:http://www.equibase.com/rotw/fullpp.pdf

Stungbythestorm (4 starts, 1 win, 1 2nd, 2 3rds)
I really think he's outclassed here, but if he stays at 20-1 he might have some value. His speed figures for his previous races make it seem like he has a chance, but the question is if the has the class to run here
Verdict: Exotics Contender

My Pal Charlie (10 starts, 2 wins, 2 2nds)
Speed figures can be misleading-they would have you think that Charlie's 5th place in the West Virginia Derby was better than Macho Again's win in the Jim Dandy, but that is hardly the case. That being said, I'm not convinced that he has no chance here. Both of his 2nds were to Pyro when Pyro was at his best. I can't see him winning this race, but a rally for 3rd is not out of the question.
Verdict: Exotics Contender

Macho Again(12 starts, 3 wins, 2 2nds)
A worthy favorite, Macho Again has run well in all of his starts, and that includes the Travers where he had no room to run, clipped heels and faded to 8th. It's hard to bet against him, even though he might not be fit after clipping heels in the Travers. If he drops to about 3-1, I'd give him a bet but if he gets bet down, lay off
Verdict: Win Contender

Mambo Meister (11 starts, 3 wins, 1 2nd, 4 3rds)
He ran poorly in the slop in his last outing, but ran well in his last 3 starts. However the fields were weak and the times weren't terribly impressive. Probably the boldest toss I'll make, but I can't see him getting there
Verdict: Toss

King Darius (8 starts, 1 win, 1 2nd, 1 3rd)
Finally an easy call. He's been well beaten by some of the weaker starters in this field. No chance.
Verdict: Toss

Numismatist (10 starts, 2 wins, 2 2nds, 4 3rds)
He ran really well in the Prelude, which is the prep for this race at Louisiana Downs. However, that race was far better than his previous starts, and his other runs just won't be good enough to hit the board here. I fully expect him to bounce and not fire this race
Verdict: Toss

Star Production (13 starts, 4 wins, 4 2nds, 1 3rd)
He held off Numismatist in the Prelude to win by a nose, proving to me at least that he has the class to compete with this field, despite going from restricted stakes to a big Grade 2 race. I'm not sure that he can beat Macho Again, but then again, I'm not sure he can't either.
Verdict: Win Contender

Real Appeal (10 starts, 3 wins, 2 3rds)
His late running style leaves him almost no chance to win here, but his run to hit the board in the West Virginia Derby was at least somewhat impressive. The race wasn't that much more of an effort than his last races, so bounce is less likely to be a factor in my opinion.
Verdict: Exotics Contender

Golden Yank (10 Starts, 3 wins, 2 2nds, 2 3rds)
Another closer who seems like he hasn't actually won a race in forever, he closed to 3rd in the prelude, missing by only a head. He might close to his the board here, but I cant see him catching Macho Again or Star Production
Verdict: Exotics Contender

Forest Command (3 Starts, 2 wins, 1 2nd)
In the only race he's lost he missed by only a head. He's a son of Monarchos, a Kentucky Derby winner, so he might have the class to run here. His speed figures have been impressive, but his opponents have been fairly weak. But all signs seem to point to him having a chance to win this race.
Verdict: Win Contender.

[klinkman]

My analysis was fairly close with one major caveat-My Pal Charlie certainly had it in him to win the race. Macho Again and Forest Command finished 2nd and 3rd respectively. All of my tosses were correct, and my only miss was Star Production, who dropped back to last.

Race Page and Video if you're interested: http://www.ntra.com/content.aspx?type=news&id=34985

[Lilred36]

I would love to go to the track with you klink, your system is probally better than the best name heh.