Wtf - Anyone? - Bueller?

[eejit101]

Simple squeeze here IMO, noones ahead of me, race at worst if someone calls.

Wtf is he doing.


Full Tilt Poker Game #14808082349: Satellite to MiniFTOPS #24 (108709442), Table 1 - 50/100 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:57:56 ET - 2009/09/19
Seat 1: OLD AXE1 (1,500)
Seat 2: ANGIEMJ (1,740)
Seat 3: LosKelly (1,455)
Seat 4: eejit101 (1,925)
Seat 6: marti1234567 (440)
Seat 7: BBALGANJAMBA (690)
Seat 8: Aghabehzad (3,890)
Seat 9: kiko23k (1,860)
LosKelly posts the small blind of 50
eejit101 posts the big blind of 100
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to eejit101 [Js Kc]
marti1234567 folds
BBALGANJAMBA folds
Aghabehzad calls 100
kiko23k calls 100
OLD AXE1 folds
ANGIEMJ calls 100
LosKelly calls 50
eejit101 raises to 1,925, and is all in
Aghabehzad has 15 seconds left to act
Aghabehzad calls 1,825
kiko23k folds
ANGIEMJ folds
LosKelly folds
eejit101 shows [Js Kc]
Aghabehzad shows [4h 5h]
*** FLOP *** [8c Ts 2h]
*** TURN *** [8c Ts 2h] [5d]
*** RIVER *** [8c Ts 2h 5d] [Th]
eejit101 shows a pair of Tens
Aghabehzad shows two pair, Tens and Fives
Aghabehzad wins the pot (4,150) with two pair, Tens and Fives
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4,150 | Rake 0
Board: [8c Ts 2h 5d Th]
Seat 1: OLD AXE1 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: ANGIEMJ (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: LosKelly (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: eejit101 (big blind) showed [Js Kc] and lost with a pair of Tens
Seat 6: marti1234567 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: BBALGANJAMBA didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: Aghabehzad showed [4h 5h] and won (4,150) with two pair, Tens and Fives
Seat 9: kiko23k folded before the Flop

[ffcowboy76]

He must of figured you for AK and figured on 2 live cards. Besides, they were suited.

[ferrengi]

LOL!
In a satellite no less and he has already more than doubled his stack (probably by making stupid plays like this and getting lucky). He could probably fold almost every hand and still win a seat and he's willing to chuck half his stack on this hand!
I had no idea these satellites were so soft.

I really have no idea wtf he is doing, you'd have to ask him.

It does appear that he has no concept of correct satellite strategy, starting hand values and pot odds.

Maybe he thinks any suited connector is a must call?!

[TerpZone]

lol this crap has been happening to me all day. It's really frustrating.

[woohoosue]

sorry i get it ......he has u covered in chips it doesnt mean death to him ..suited conected cards ... yup it's called gambling ...some people do this during poker....its a crazy strategy...... sorry i like it....two other caller to act are your size too in chips if they come too would of been glorious for him ...if he loses hes still sittin on 1k ...u pushed with 3 callers on board know a big stack was in ....why didnt you think he would call with those cards?

[eejit101]

He should call for one reason...

He misclicked.

He is getting no equity, no odds, no expected value, he is AT BEST a 45% dog.

He is AT WORST a 94% dog.


Theres why you fold.

[ferrengi]

sorry i get it ......he has u covered in chips it doesnt mean death to him ..suited conected cards ... yup it's called gambling ...some people do this during poker....its a crazy strategy...... sorry i like it....two other caller to act are your size too in chips if they come too would of been glorious for him ...if he loses hes still sittin on 1k ...u pushed with 3 callers on board know a big stack was in ....why didnt you think he would call with those cards?

It's OK to gamble but you have to pick sensible spots so that the risk is worth the reward. In this case, because it is a satellite, villain is risking quite a bit for almost no gain.
If villain plays sensibly, he can probably win a seat about 95%.
So, if he wins, let's say he'll win 99% of the time. But, what happens if he loses? His equity will go way down, below 50%.
I'd have to know the payout structure and then run a simulation to know for sure. However, assuming this is a SNG satellite, that pays the top 3, I think my guesses are about right.
However, villain is not alone. There are many people that play satellites but make the most basic mistakes because they do not properly adjust their strategy in satellites.