u cant bet 550 with only 1k back
u cant bet 550 with only 1k back
In my opinion she committed too many chips preflop for her stack size. If she had 3k or so, then yes that raise will work. With more chips you can bet a larger portion of the pot to push out the drawing hands on the flop and not risk a call based on stack size.
I think with the stack size a limp from UTG is the better play. It keeps the pot smaller and allows you to bet out a larger portion of the pot and not commit too much of your stack.
I first read this and i didnt want to comment, but looking at it longer there is alot of things here.
Im ignoring the fact its 15fpp buy in.
Preflop - Raising 1010 under the gun isnt always smart. According to many books i read, 1010 here is a limp/call hand. But whatever, raise if you wish. However 5x BB is a too big of a raise for UTG. Its a too big of a raise for anywhere really.
If were playing as played, your always out of position, the issue with the raise. But for you are vs a blind here, so its good so far.
He just calls your 5x bet. What hand do you put him on now? Id assume noone is this tricky at 15 FPPs, so lets not even think the big 3 pairs, as they shove over instantly. Leaving you AK and below, JJ and below, maybe KQ/KJs, and unlikely any other 2 broadway cards. Hell, any 2 suited cards might call here.
So, we are doubting the villain has a set. 33 is possible, but usally on a broadway draw board, bottom set bets out. So lets partially discount 33. Now, do you think he has a king? My guess is AQ or QJ or something folds to a stregnth bet here, and i know you have missed, but this is a perfect time to continuation bet. He has checked before us, so i would shoot out a bet for around 325 given the size of this pot. Its enough to commit people for a big proportion of their chips, and with this big a pot and only 1k back, we are now commited to this hand. Ill assume this bet picks up the pot here vs anything that doesnt have a K, or AQ. So your getting rid of gutshots (like the AJ), JJ fold, AT folds, any lower pair folds and all other garbage. And its a decent sized pot to win now with what is effectively a bluff.
But, say we check as we think we hare behind. The turn is a good card for us, we hope. We know he doesnt have KK or QQ for sure. So now the only hands beating us are AJ and J9.
The problem here is youve let yourself hitt he 5th nut hand (behind AJ, J9, KK and QQ) but its also given hand we have to admit are possible the chance to beat you. AJ and J9 here are very possible.
Villain on the turn has checked the absolute nuts, as he should, and youve bet as the board is now very draw-heavy. with the raise coming in we have to look at the straight cards as possibilities.
its much better to call the turn bet than shove. Call this bet and fill up for a fullhouse on the river and your going to stack. If you shove here if he is bluffing he might fold, he might have raised AK or something.
Plus if the river comes a horrible card (as it does) you can fold.
However this doesnt mean nothing to you since yo wont listen to me. i believe the correct play is a lower raise preflop (175 i like) or a limp, then betting the flop assuming they havent hit.
I dont know what is going on with that post? use quotes next time!
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