Noone agrees with me, figured.

Heres the thinking.

If i push preflop - 33 folds. QQ calls. Id assume anyway.

If i reraise preflop, i give away my hand is strong, 33 folds, QQ calls id assume and will end up stacking me id assume also on the flop.

If i limp preflop -

this is the fun part. Limping here is definatly +EV. The maximum pot i can win here is 30k. Tripling me up. This is if the BB calls as well. The minimum i can win is 2.3k, if i reraise and they all fold. Which is very possible. As right now i dont know what they have.

So, if i reraise, i win alot less chips, get no bounty, and generally cry.

The math behind it is interesting too. Im tripling up, giving me 200% on my money. Which is nice.

If i go in vs QQ and 33, im about 75% i think (not sure im guessing). so 3 times out of 4 im going to triple up. And be a chip leader, a definate cash, a great shot at the final table.

If i go in with AA v QQ, im about 85% favourite (again, guess) and will double up this time.

If i go in vs nothing, i win 2.3k

So, the question i was thinking as everyone else folded after the big stacks flat call is, why am i gonna limp, what do they have.

I decided to put them on hands. I put the Big Stack on QQ, so i got one right, and the UTG guy on AK, got that wrong.

So then i based the math behind my plan on those hands. One pair, one Ace whatever hand.

Working it out, if i push, and im wrong, and they have AJ and 1010. They CAN both fold here. Which we dont want. They could also both have 1010 and be drawing dead, almost.


So i called to maximize pot equity, maximize pot size to committ UTG into pushing any flop with what i hoped was Ax, assuming my read on big stack was right he calls with overpair, i then push with AA, he calls, i have to dodge 2 out twice, maybe 3 outs twice. I do, i win, tyvm.


I dont get why you all want me to push. Screw isolating, why do i want people out for an extra 7 or 8% and lose so many chips that can be won here?


I want ff and hydros analysis, where are they