And its gonna be about complaining/bad beats.


The amount of times ive read on this forum about people "running bad", its unreal.

Yes, getting screwed late on in tourneys is bad. It sucks. Just ask me and NDN, if i could have a cookie for every time its happened to us within the last 2 months is be the size of a small country.

What noone ever seems to realise is the hands they have won before getting sucked out on.

The difference between a 100% favourite and a 75% favourite so huge its unreal.

AK vs 55, you should lose more often than not over the long run.

A7 vs JJ. 28% of the time the A7 will win.

55 vs 22. Often a split pot, but with 2 outs to be hit 5 times, along with runners and other draws, your not hat huge a favourite.


Think how many times youve gotten your chips in good an had them hold up vs a weaker hand to get to a late stage in a tourney. The answer is at least 4 times. so as a 75% favourite each times for example, you due a loss.



Poker needs looking at in the long-run. Short term vairance sucks, you can go all in with AA vs 66 5 times in a tourney, and your due to lose one. ITs just the one time you do you forget the 4 times youve won previously, and only think about the present. I know i do it, and i do get pissed off that i can play so well, get it in as a huge favourite, and lose.


Heres the key - If poker stopped with maths and percentages, you shoudl technically win every game, aside from where u run a monster hand into a monster hand. As you dont often get it in behind if your a decent player. Sometimes you race, as it needs to be done, but aside from that you should mostly be getting it in ahead.


Ive just read several posts from people who are saying they are running bad, variacne, e.t.c

I could post some swings in my games of nearly 30 races lost. THATS running bad. And that was consecutively.

Short term variance sucks, but its the world of odds evening itself out.


Goodnight from me, and good night from the last of my poker advice kinda posts. Noone reads em anyway