
Originally Posted by
eejit101
Its like the famous quote - "Would you rather be lucky, or good?"
My issue currently is, i only seem to be winning in MTTs when i am getting lucky.
Ive looked at some recent hand histories as I cant sleep, and figured id post this before trying again.
Mainly ive been starting off pretty solid, losing some small pots, losing big ones but only if im getting it all in in impossible situations, AK vs KK, KK vs AA e.t.c, and obviously winning a large amount of pots early on too.
Then at some point during the first couple of hours, ill get it in ahead and lose to something a bit odd, like AK vs AJ, and ill drop right back down again.
this is where the luck is coming in. Maybe its "karma" for losing as a favourite so often, maybe its variance, who knows. But as a serious point of view, its having to happen for me to be able to cash or go deep in any MTT.
It sit and gos its al basic. Im winning more than i lose on average over the last 4 months. Ive got a 14% ROI over the last 6 months which makes me happy, but a -19% ROI in MTTs. I can honestly say that my tourney game and reads are ok, i mean everything needs improving but im not significantly worse than i was 3 years ago when i was going deep in alot of games.
What ive decided is its the lower buyin levels. I cant get out of my head the things i used to be able to do against people in $200 buyins, or $100 buyins. I could get away with some mad moves there, calling down flop and turn bets with utter garbage to only push the river or something representing a slow played set or something. And itd work, and work well. In the past i had a whole range of options. And i know the people who were here back then can vouch for that, NDN in particular as we played alot of MTTs together in the past, and some now.
IMO my MTT game has gotten sligtly worse. My reads are spot on still, but i not using them as much when im playing, only when watching or ghosting others. Yesterday for example i watched someone (Lori i believe) in a small buyin on Stars i sent her to get used to poker. She folded preflop, and there was a big pot going on. From their bets and the flop i said the raiser had 77, the caller had AQ, and the all in had Kings. All 3 hands were completely spot on. on a Q 7 4 flop too. I was impressed.
My issue is doing this whilst im playing. I like to have other things going on while i play, chatting on MSN, watcing online TV, a film or currently some MLB on mlb.tv. This detracts from my watching the hands im not in, and getting some subtle information on the other players.
If this is affecting it i dont know.
But ill figure it out. I know i can beat most people in MTTs, and i can do it, ive proven that, whats going on right now is either some weird variance, or ive completely lost touch with the game as it is today.