What are the odds?

[Lilred36]

okay I know some of you know alot of the odds and percentages.So what are the odds of calling an allin with the best hand and getting knocked outa 3 tourneys in a row?

[Tomturkey46]

Do you really really want to know??





about 75% sure for that to happen

The Turkey(been there, done that)

[Lilred36]

wow Tom thats high? I mean I probally woulda blinded out in two, once was a pair of 9s.I know,I know and twice was AQ.I was just seeing how bad I play, thats awful high.

[klinkman]

Do you know how big of a favorite you were each time? If you do I can do some combinatorics and figure it out for you. I guess that discrete math class had some use after all.

[Lilred36]

no klink I can tell you what I lost to tho,I do think it was a flip on most.I was just wondering the odds so here, 1st was AQ vs A7 he hit trip 7s, 2nd was pock. 9s again 8 10 he hit 10 on river. last was preflop push in AQ vs A9 he hit the 9. My brain is mush but I think thats correct.

[USCTrojans]

Do you know how big of a favorite you were each time? If you do I can do some combinatorics and figure it out for you. I guess that discrete math class had some use after all.

"Combinatorics" now I have never heard that, explain to me klink please!

[bkniefel]

Well in this case you would need to say what hands you had. The best hand pre-flop, at, or on the turn? Also, saying you have the best hands means that you have the nuts, therefore, you would not be knocked out of any tournament.

[eejit101]

he did say "calling all in with the best hand" as in prefop i took that to mean.

And the odds of this happening , about 80% of the time.

Think what your asking....

Ill give you all 1 chance at telling me why I am gonna say the following.



"You getting knocked out of the tourneys like that is 95% of the time likely"

[bkniefel]

he did say "calling all in with the best hand" as in prefop i took that to mean.

And the odds of this happening , about 80% of the time.

Think what your asking....

Ill give you all 1 chance at telling me why I am gonna say the following.



"You getting knocked out of the tourneys like that is 95% of the time likely"

The best hand pre-flop can be argued, as the percentages don't always tell the truth. However, I'm not sure if that last comment was to me or not but I don't know what it means exactly.

[eejit101]

aha! its to everyone...

Wonder if anyone will get why it akes SO MUCH SENSE! (and im bein serious)

[USCTrojans]

aha! its to everyone...

Wonder if anyone will get why it akes SO MUCH SENSE! (and im bein serious)

It makes sense to me because:

1) Best hand preflop dont mean anything, the hand that wins is defined after river card is dealt
2) 95% of the times knocked out with the best hand pre, most likely, and why is that, because if not, we would most likely be winning all the time LOL