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  1. #11
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    1,122

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    i get where he is coming from w this... he assuming noone is gonna call with a pair less than Qs Js... and the chances of any pair being dealt to any player in a round is like 45%, and half of those u have atleast a coin flip odds against...

    400K is 25% his stack

    So hes saying it worth it to invest the 1.5 mil to chase the 400k

    I cant figure the odds to find out actually how many times u are gonna win in that situation, but u would have to win 4 out of 5 times for the risk v rewards to be in ur favor

    but I dont get how people apply this to tournaments, this is more applicable to cash games

    tournaments u have to weight in buy-in cost, the jump of prize money to the next spot out... how much u have in relation to the rest of the table...

    to me risking 1.5 mil there when ur only a double up from the big stack... is way to much to risk, unless the next 10 spots in the tournament all get paid the same amount... then I can kind of see risking it, but I still dont think I would

    holdem is a flop game, If Im gonna make a move there, I would do it after the flop

    if u are right and only get called w a big pair, then they more likely to fold after the flop... that would furthur add to the overall odds of winning in that situation
    Last edited by ScareCrowAKA; 12-21-2011 at 05:22 PM.

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