i get where he is coming from w this... he assuming noone is gonna call with a pair less than Qs Js... and the chances of any pair being dealt to any player in a round is like 45%, and half of those u have atleast a coin flip odds against...
400K is 25% his stack
So hes saying it worth it to invest the 1.5 mil to chase the 400k
I cant figure the odds to find out actually how many times u are gonna win in that situation, but u would have to win 4 out of 5 times for the risk v rewards to be in ur favor
but I dont get how people apply this to tournaments, this is more applicable to cash games
tournaments u have to weight in buy-in cost, the jump of prize money to the next spot out... how much u have in relation to the rest of the table...
to me risking 1.5 mil there when ur only a double up from the big stack... is way to much to risk, unless the next 10 spots in the tournament all get paid the same amount... then I can kind of see risking it, but I still dont think I would
holdem is a flop game, If Im gonna make a move there, I would do it after the flop
if u are right and only get called w a big pair, then they more likely to fold after the flop... that would furthur add to the overall odds of winning in that situation




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