Nadal at +125?

[Ringo]

oh ok... i thought it seemed weird... I didnt think tsonga owned nadal like that, i thought it was federer he owned

Nadal is a clay court expert but just average on hard court
My comment about Federer owning Nadal is because if Nadal wins today he will most likely face Roger again after he beat him 6-1 6-3 this week

[eejit101]

Nadal = average?

Go **** yourself

[ScareCrowAKA]

Ya, i would still consider going w nadal... if not for the illness stuff... good luck w detroit today, they could def cover/win, its a national stage and a division game, but for me I tend to stay away from betting against people/teams that are considered to be in the #1 spot of what they do

[Ringo]

Ya, i would still consider going w nadal... if not for the illness stuff... good luck w detroit today, they could def cover/win, its a national stage and a division game, but for me I tend to stay away from betting against people/teams that are considered to be in the #1 spot of what they do

I finally got the balls to bet Detroit after watching the line move from 6 1/2 to jsut 4 presently
History has shown that a 2 point line move the morning of the game is a very telling sign. Also to note that GB Stark is injured and Detroit had a bye week to prepare. Last Decmebr Detroit won in Michigan 7-3 vs GB.
I predict GB wins 30-27

Also just found out that the 49er game tonight is on the NFL channel
So it looks like nap time during Dallas game and The Casino here I come

[eejit101]

Some points...

1 - Nadal is not average. At anything.
2 - Starks is not injured. He just rushed for 8 yards.
3 - History does not show that a line moving by 2 points is a sign. Ive just checked on a tracker site. It basically means some either one big bet came in on that site, or the site was feeling someone was starting that might not have been.

The line on Det/GB on the site i use has not moved all week. Only by half a point.

4 - Last DECEMBER? It was snowing. It was outside. It was minus fricken 300. They are in a heated dome. Get a grip with your stats, the stat you made means nothing!

5 - Detroit have not had a bye week. They played Chicago 4 days ago, at the same time GB played TB.

[NDN]

I finally got the balls to bet Detroit after watching the line move from 6 1/2 to jsut 4 presently
History has shown that a 2 point line move the morning of the game is a very telling sign. Also to note that GB Stark is injured and Detroit had a bye week to prepare. Last Decmebr Detroit won in Michigan 7-3 vs GB.
I predict GB wins 30-27

Also just found out that the 49er game tonight is on the NFL channel
So it looks like nap time during Dallas game and The Casino here I come

Online or offline?

[ScareCrowAKA]

NFL Network Live Stream Online

[ScareCrowAKA]

the line move is cuz of all the bets on Detroit... the books want 50/50 bets on each team, so they gaunteed make 10% on total bets...

The beggining lines are set w nothing but math formulas, stats, and some general knowledge on who the public will favor...

the lines dont tell u how much one team is "favored" they are moved and desinged to get people to bet a certian way...

must have been alot of last minute betting on Det. at +6...

the typical thoght in betting is to "fade" the public, U get better odds that way, so if anything, if the line moves that much, tech. u would be getting better "odds" if u went w GB after the move