Week 9 Bet (Still running at 78%)!!!

[eejit101]

Yes. BUT

Thats $100 a week you didnt have before....

And im not suggesting you do $10 per pick.

Im suggest 5 or 10 $10 parlays. From my maths, youd generally hit 1 or two of them. Which is ALOT more.

[ScareCrowAKA]

ok, ya i guess 10 6game 10$ parlays would be 100$ risked around 500-550$ won

[eejit101]

Lets look at it logically.

I on average pick 15 games. The worst ive gone so far is 10-5 i believe. Maybe one week of 8-6.

So, we can conclude, the way I bet any way...

We take 1 x parlay of 12 teams @ $1 to win $1gazillion.
2 x 10 teams @ $5 to win $1bazillion.

Then sensible bets.

3 x 7 team parlays (including my picks of the week which generally do well) @ $5 each.

3 x 6 team parlays @ $5 each.

5 x 5 team parlays @ $10 each.

General basis is even money. For a $10 bet...

So the 5 teamers will win $320
6 teamers win $640
7 Teamers win $1280
10 teamers win $11k
12 teamers win $44k

This is sick. As ive gone 14-1 this season before. Maybe i should read what i just wrote and bet accordingly...

[ScareCrowAKA]

ya, that 14-1 wk was the payoff wk... lol, I dont like the chances of that happening again

but I come up with this... Maximum Payout...

10 parlays 10$ 10 games each, all games around -110

each payout comes to around 7000$

going 14-1 you could have easily had all 10 win since you had a winning % of 93%

so we will say we got lucky and only lost 1 out of 10 parlays if we evenly spread the pick as much as we could

7k x 9 = 63k... this seem right??? ... and yes, GODDAMN! lol

and with a winning % overall of 80% or so... All the other weeks cumulative at worst you would break even, if u got unlucky... with a total of 900$ risked the entire season

Im pretty sure if I had done that, The book would tell me to F off and go count my $ in the bank of Candyland

[eejit101]

I know. My problem is i dont have the online funds to bet on them.

Most weeks i dont bet. The few i do i do some parlays at the high street william hill bookmakers we have here. 5 or 6 teams for £5 bet. Won the last 2 weeks, but not huge amounts.

And yeah, running at 79% currently. Thats a damn good percentage for this i think. Or am i wrong?

[ScareCrowAKA]

79% rate is a insane awesome run over 9 wks... ive seen people up thousands at the end of the season w 56% win rates...

but take it for what it is... its a hell of a stat, but what does it really get u if u dont have the funds to bet that much

the only thing that matters really is ROI%... and generally speaking, anything over 4% (the inflation rate) is considered decent...

[eejit101]

Meh, i know. I was 72% last season. Lets do week 10!!!