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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    1,122

    Default

    if u lose one win one of the last 2 games... 57% ROI

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    UK
    Posts
    12,141

    Default

    Exactly! I should push the last two. To be fair i want 2/2.

    And ive never had a losing week. You guys suck for not being rich.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    1,122

    Default

    u do about 15 picks a wk, 9 wks... I could afford maybe 10$ on each pick...

    if u are rocking lets say 70-75% after this wk, I could be up... 850-950$ or so
    ...100$ a wk

    that aint rich... thats like a fulltime job at 2.50 a hr, .lol

    and thats not even including all the dumb *** fees I have to pay to withdraw the shlt...

    which would be like 45$, if I make 1 withdraw a month

    I should go up to the sports bar and find a bookie, but i dont really wanna deal w people like that, maybe I should move to detroit, and make wkly trips over to canada

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    UK
    Posts
    12,141

    Default

    Yes. BUT

    Thats $100 a week you didnt have before....

    And im not suggesting you do $10 per pick.

    Im suggest 5 or 10 $10 parlays. From my maths, youd generally hit 1 or two of them. Which is ALOT more.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    1,122

    Default

    ok, ya i guess 10 6game 10$ parlays would be 100$ risked around 500-550$ won

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jun 2005
    Location
    UK
    Posts
    12,141

    Default

    Lets look at it logically.

    I on average pick 15 games. The worst ive gone so far is 10-5 i believe. Maybe one week of 8-6.

    So, we can conclude, the way I bet any way...

    We take 1 x parlay of 12 teams @ $1 to win $1gazillion.
    2 x 10 teams @ $5 to win $1bazillion.

    Then sensible bets.

    3 x 7 team parlays (including my picks of the week which generally do well) @ $5 each.

    3 x 6 team parlays @ $5 each.

    5 x 5 team parlays @ $10 each.

    General basis is even money. For a $10 bet...

    So the 5 teamers will win $320
    6 teamers win $640
    7 Teamers win $1280
    10 teamers win $11k
    12 teamers win $44k

    This is sick. As ive gone 14-1 this season before. Maybe i should read what i just wrote and bet accordingly...

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Feb 2009
    Posts
    1,122

    Default

    ya, that 14-1 wk was the payoff wk... lol, I dont like the chances of that happening again

    but I come up with this... Maximum Payout...

    10 parlays 10$ 10 games each, all games around -110

    each payout comes to around 7000$

    going 14-1 you could have easily had all 10 win since you had a winning % of 93%

    so we will say we got lucky and only lost 1 out of 10 parlays if we evenly spread the pick as much as we could

    7k x 9 = 63k... this seem right??? ... and yes, GODDAMN! lol

    and with a winning % overall of 80% or so... All the other weeks cumulative at worst you would break even, if u got unlucky... with a total of 900$ risked the entire season

    Im pretty sure if I had done that, The book would tell me to F off and go count my $ in the bank of Candyland
    Last edited by ScareCrowAKA; 11-07-2011 at 10:17 AM.

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