Can I get a little run good?

[ffcowboy76]

This hand happened in MFTOPS #1 tonight. As I write this I'm currently sitting with starting stack at 120/240, 25 ante. This hand doesn't require much "analysis" because he made an outstandingly stupid play that got rewarded. This DOES NOT make him a good player. This kind of goes back to some other threads where people discussed having a plan for the hand. I'm 100% sure this guy didn't have a plan because of HOW the action unfolded. Here it is:

Full Tilt Poker Game #26240778228: MiniFTOPS Event #1 (190556525), Table 308 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:50:37 ET - 2010/12/08
Seat 1: BennyB666 (5,925)
Seat 2: dav_500 (4,495)
Seat 3: DVGoudkov (12,510)
Seat 4: drchaos (3,785)
Seat 5: WILLKAT103 (5,645)
Seat 6: sundisback (5,985)
Seat 7: ffcowboy76 (11,460)
Seat 8: Jrallen42005 (5,985)
Seat 9: pokerdon41 (9,610)
Jrallen42005 posts the small blind of 100
pokerdon41 posts the big blind of 200
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ffcowboy76 [Jd Jh]
BennyB666 folds
dav_500 folds
DVGoudkov has been disconnected
DVGoudkov has 15 seconds left to act
DVGoudkov has timed out
DVGoudkov folds
DVGoudkov is sitting out
drchaos folds
WILLKAT103 raises to 600
sundisback folds
ffcowboy76 calls 600
Jrallen42005 calls 500
pokerdon41 folds
*** FLOP *** [Ts 5h 2c]
Jrallen42005 has 15 seconds left to act
Jrallen42005 checks
WILLKAT103 checks
ffcowboy76 bets 1,600
Jrallen42005 has 15 seconds left to act
Jrallen42005 raises to 5,385, and is all in
WILLKAT103 folds
ffcowboy76

Spoiler

calls 3,785
Jrallen42005 shows [Ah Qh]
ffcowboy76 shows [Jd Jh]
*** TURN *** [Ts 5h 2c] [4h]
*** RIVER *** [Ts 5h 2c 4h] [Kh]
Jrallen42005 shows a flush, Ace high
ffcowboy76 shows a pair of Jacks
Jrallen42005 wins the pot (12,770) with a flush, Ace high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 12,770 | Rake 0
Board: [Ts 5h 2c 4h Kh]
Seat 1: BennyB666 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: dav_500 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: DVGoudkov didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: drchaos didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: WILLKAT103 folded on the Flop
Seat 6: sundisback didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: ffcowboy76 (button) showed [Jd Jh] and lost with a pair of Jacks
Seat 8: Jrallen42005 (small blind) showed [Ah Qh] and won (12,770) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 9: pokerdon41 (big blind) folded before the Flop

[ffcowboy76]

Here is my plan/thinking for that hand.

My plan for that hand didn't include calling shoves by either player. Based on the action though, I knew his jam wasn't an over pair or even a set. He flatted from the SB, which in my opinion (and 80+ hands of history) excluded all pocket pairs from his range and more than likely put him in the suited connector to big suited A range. His check/jam was supposed to run my hand out because he probably misranged me because I had be very active the previous few hands. I was hammering flops left and right and rebuilding my stack after a minor misstep 15 hands earlier. He more than likely put me on missing the little flop and thought I was buying. I can see where his thinking comes from because people don't usually hammer multiple flops in a row with quality cards. However, I didn't need to hammer to be ahead of him because of where I ranged him and how he was playing. I expected him to call my bet and check to me on the turn. If that happened I planned on putting him all in, as long as there wasn't a flush on the board, and watching him time down and fold. My backup was that he folded and we carried on with my stack healthier than before. I didn't expect any resistance from the PFR. He check his first action which is extremely weak based on that flop. If he had an over pair I would expect to see some form of a continuation bet, which he didn't do. I ranged him on a big A or possibly a mid non suited connector. As we see he probably had the big A and got out of the way because of the extreme strength shown by the check raise from the SB.

When he jammed I reassessed my thinking and made sure I had no holes in where I put him and measured the possibilty of him having an over pair vs the pot odds. I was only behind an overpair, which really wasn't in his range based on previous observations. The pot odds more than justified my call.

[eejit101]

This call is 100% good. Reads on the hand are either a medium pair or overs. Mediums that hit will trap call, missed ones with check/shove. (Or check/call if they are good). Overs do this move every time. Unless they are good and can fold.

I like the move, hate the result, but love the use of spoiler tag!