Originally Posted by
klinkman
I don't have time to do a full analysis today, so here are some quick hits.
Big Drama: Gonna create some drama at the beginning- but won't be the star of this play
Mine That Bird: His chances might have left with Calvin Boreal
Musket Man: You know I'm a fan of this longshot. A lot of things would have to go his way for him to win though.
Luv Gov: Luv someone else today
Fresian Fire: I could be wrong, but I don't think he will fire
Terrain: Has a huge mountain to climb to match these foes
Papa Clem: It will take everything he's got to win this race.
Pioneerof The Nile: The only value pick on the board
Flying Private: His derby placement should say it all
Take the Points: Bet a horse that can win-and take the money that people are betting on take the points
Tone it Down: Tone down your bets on this horse with no chance
Rachel Alexandra: Obviously the best and most talented horse in this field, but I don't like betting on her for a few reasons-1, she's running back off of 2 weeks, after running a BIG race in the oaks, 2, she's running against the boys from a really bad post, and 3, she's been bet dow so low that there really isn't any value in betting her.
So how do I play this race? For my 20$
5$ on Pioneerof The Nile to Win
5$ on Musket Man to Show
10$ on the Concession stand for a Hot Dog and Pepsi (They have a better ROI than the rest of this field)
