Heads Up Hand Analysis!

This is from a 50$ HU which we have raised every SB and it seems like villian is getting pretty agitated.
okerStars Game #19947891664: Tournament #104709880, $50.00+$2.50 Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level I (10/20) - 2008/08/27 - 19:13:53 (ET)
Table '104709880 2' 2-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: badbeatman06 (1700 in chips)
Seat 2: vuddythetnt (1300 in chips)
vuddythetnt: posts small blind 10
badbeatman06: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to badbeatman06 [Jh As]
vuddythetnt: calls 10
badbeatman06: raises 80 to 100
vuddythetnt: calls 80
*** FLOP *** [Jd Ks 5c]
badbeatman06: bets 120
vuddythetnt: calls 120
*** TURN *** [Jd Ks 5c] [2d]
badbeatman06: bets 220
vuddythetnt: calls 220
*** RIVER *** [Jd Ks 5c 2d] [7d]
badbeatman06: checks
vuddythetnt: bets 320
badbeatman06: ????

I'll start with this one again. Ok so heads up if you read my article I wrote about playing heads up you realize that going heads up if you hit a pair you have a 66.67% chance that your opponent did not hit the flop.
So with 2nd pair top kicker, I am thinking we are good.
Lets look at villians action throughout the hand.
Villian flat calls preflop raise. Indicating weakness.
Villian flat calls bet on flop. Once again indicating weakness.
Villian flat calls turn. You guessed it. Weakness.
Villian BETS to a check here.
First of all a check is a very bad play here. Why not bet about 220 and see what villian does. I gurantee if he just flat calls, then he we have the best hand. If he reraises. We do not, in my opinion.
A check is very bad here. IMO.
Thanks for listening.
Ty

Quote:

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Originally Posted by $o$o$ucce$$ful

I'll start with this one again. Ok so heads up if you read my article I wrote about playing heads up you realize that going heads up if you hit a pair you have a 66.67% chance that your opponent did not hit the flop.
So with 2nd pair top kicker, I am thinking we are good.
Lets look at villians action throughout the hand.
Villian flat calls preflop raise. Indicating weakness.
Villian flat calls bet on flop. Once again indicating weakness.
Villian flat calls turn. You guessed it. Weakness.
Villian BETS to a check here.
First of all a check is a very bad play here. Why not bet about 220 and see what villian does. I gurantee if he just flat calls, then he we have the best hand. If he reraises. We do not, in my opinion.
A check is very bad here. IMO.
Thanks for listening.
Ty

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Hmm, where to begin (i play alot of HU so im qualified for this response)

1 - Villain flat calls preflop is not weak. Being raised into ive had many many big hands and slowplayed them vs an agressor.
2 - Flat calling a flop and turn is again not neccessarily weak. See point 1.

After my play on the flop and turn if i assumed id play it like you did, im checking this river with the intention of calling a bet form him. The diamond isnt that scary, but he may have it, so nice catch him.
Looking at the hand i can easily put him on KQ, Kx, or maybe AJ as well. He could also have a busted QT draw.

As played, you have to cal this bet. However, the correct play IMO is after the flop call, check the turn (if it isnt a J or A) and see what he does. Yes, its giving him a free card for draws, but its +EV imo, because if he has you beat, HU, top pair doesnt fold harldy EVER, so you can assume youll lose a bigger pot than you need to with your AJ. I saw check the turn, and if he bets, evaluate then if you want to continue int he hand.

As with the stacks, winning a 400 pot gets you to have him covered 2-1. Which in heads up, is a good place to be.

oh no not again. where does villain come in this. didnt see villain in ur hand summary.

For future reference...

Hero - Peron who is playing the hand we are "playing in our heads"
Villains - Opponents.


So when i say villain, im talking about the person we are up against.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by eejit101

For future reference...

Hero - Peron who is playing the hand we are "playing in our heads"
Villains - Opponents.


So when i say villain, im talking about the person we are up against.

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okay thanks for info. i wasnt sure what u were talking about. i just didnt want to see this thread get meesed up like that other one u started. thanks

im willing to bet any money that the "villian" had Kx suited and he smooth called down to see what you'd do with his weak King...

Hmm.

If i HAD to put him on a hand, im gonna guess at 88 or 99, and he is trying to buy it, or represent a slow played hand

There is one class of hands I will put him on. He has Kx possible suited with diamonds, but I would expect a reraise on the turn. This allows him to take more if he does indeed hit the flush on the river. I'm not a great heads up player, but I've won me a game or too. I can see him having very strong hand that he is slow playing to milk as much as possible from the aggressive hero in the hand.

Cowboy do you think we should lay it down here? Or is a call justified with how much we have commited to the pot?

I think you call but expect to see the pot go his way. I would be 90% sure you were behind in the hand. If you are ahead it's a nice win, but remember that heads up, stack size is more important than in a MTT, especially early in a MTT.