NFL Week #10 Handicapping & Trends Report
Ok guys, as promised to help everyone get the most accurate NFL info and make this Losers League even more competitive here is this week's handicapping trends report from my accunt at Donbest Sports:
Pro Football Trend Report:
By Jimmy Sirody
Don Best Senior Writer
Arizona (5-3, 6-2) finds itself in an unusual spot Monday night when it hosts San Francisco (2-6, 3-5) - sitting atop the NFC West with a cushy three-game lead. The Cardinals get a rare opportunity to strut their stuff before a national TV audience and they will likely close as double-digit favorites, for only the third time in 17 years, against the bumbling 49ers.
Arizona has thrived at home this season, winning and cashing three straight by an average of 17 points, while averaging 29.3 points per game. The Cardinals took care of business against the 49ers in the season opener as 2 1/2-point dogs, 23-13.
San Francisco has lost and failed in its last five trips to the post by an average of 14 points. Interim coach Mike Singletary has had a week off to prep the Niners for this rematch with Arizona. He didn't like what he saw in his coaching debut when his crew was blown away at home by Seattle, 34-13.
The 49ers aren't totally without hope. The visitor in this West rivalry has cashed at a 6-1-1 clip. Arizona has come up short in seven straight as home favorites of between 7 1/2 and 14 points and the Cards are 6-21 ATS after winning three of their last four games.
However, San Francisco is 0-8 ATS versus good offensive teams averaging 24 or more points per game.
Seven of the past 10 series showdowns have ended on the high side. Arizona has eclipsed the 'total' in 18 of its past 25 indoors. The 49ers have knuckled 'under' in six straight when the number was between 42 1/2 and 49.
Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 10 NFL menu appear below.
BRONCOS (3-5, 2-6) at BROWNS (3-5, 4-3-1) :
Cleveland looks to bounce back after suffering an upset loss against Baltimore at home last week. The Browns have cashed nine of their last 12 at home and they are 15-2-1 ATS after allowing 27 points or more. Denver is 1-10 ATS after playing its last game at home. The Broncos have flopped in six straight ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing more than 5.65 yards per play. Denver has zipped 'over' in 13 of 16 when playing with short rest and in nine straight after having lost four or five of its last six. Cleveland has dipped 'under' in 16 of 21 as home favorites of 3 points or less.
JAGUARS (3-5, 2-6) at LIONS (0-8, 3-5)
Jacksonville has lost five of six (0-6 ATS) as favorites. However, the Jaguars have 'covered' 15 of their last 20 in Weeks 10-13. Detroit has cashed five of nine against AFC foes and the Lions are 9-1 ATS after seven or more straight losses. Jacksonville has topped the 'total' in nine straight during the second half of the season and the Lions have followed suit in nine of 10 second half outings. The 'over' is 7-2 in Detroit's last nine non-conference contests as well.
TITANS (8-0, 7-1) at BEARS (5-3, 4-3-1)
Chicago is going to have a tough time putting points on the board against a Tennessee defense that has yielded just nine PPG on the road. The Bears have cashed 18 of 24 versus AFC teams in the Windy City and they are 6-0 ATS versus teams outscoring their opponents by six-plus PPG. The titanic Titans are 24-11-1 versus NFC opposition. They have failed at a 4-9 ATS clip after winning by three points or less. Tennessee has bopped 'over in 16 of 23 as non-conference favorites and at a 34-14-1 clip versus NFC foes. Chicago has ended on the low side in 30 of 41 as dogs versus the AFC.
BILLS (5-3, 4-4) at PATRIOTS (5-3, 4-4)
The favorite in this AFC East rivalry is 20-3 SU and 16-6 ATS. New England has won its last three against Buffalo by a combined score of 122-23. The Patriots have cashed at a 22-11-1 clip as division chalk and they are 8-2-1 ATS at home versus the Bills. Buffalo has cashed eight of its 11 against division foes on the highway. The 'under' is 15-5 in the past 20 series showdowns. New England has been on the low side in 15 of 21 as division home favorites and the Bills have followed suit in 13 of 17 as division road pups.
SAINTS (4-4, 5-3) at FALCONS (5-3 SU&ATS)
New Orleans has won and 'covered' in its past two visits to Atlanta by 18 and 20 points, respectively. The Falcons have lost and failed in their last five division tests. They have won and 'covered' in all three home games this season. However, the home team is 12-22 ATS in this NFC South shootout. Atlanta is 9-25 ATS at home after allowing 14 points or less and 3-14 ATS at home after winning by 14 or more. The Saints are 22-5 ATS on the division highway. They are 1-4 SU and ATS after a bye.
RAMS (2-6, 3-5) at JETS (5-3, 4-4)
St. Louis is 2-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less. The New York Jets have failed to cash seven straight versus teams being outscored by 10-plus PPG. The Rams have lost six straight (2-4 ATS) versus AFC outfits.
SEAHAWKS (2-6, 3-5) at DOLPHINS (4-4, 5-3)
Seattle has stumbled in six of its last seven on the road ATS. The Seahawks are 0-3 SU and ATS on the road versus AFC opponents as well. Miami is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing more than 350 yards per game. The Dolphins have dropped 28 of 41 spread decisions off an upset win as underdogs.
PACKERS (4-4, 5-3) at VIKINGS (3-5 SU&ATS)
Green Bay nipped Minnesota in the season opener, 24-19. The underdog is 16-4 in the last 20 series skirmishes. The Packers have won and 'covered' in four of their past five visits to the Metrodome. The Vikings are 4-8 ATS in their last dozen division battles and 0-3 this season. Conversely, Green Bay is 10-4 ATS on the road against division foes. Five of the past six skirmishes in Minnesota have been on the high side, with the teams combining to average 49.3 points. The Vikings have ducked 'under' in 16 of 19 as home favorites of 3 points or less.
PANTHERS (6-2, 4-3-1) at RAIDERS (2-6, 3-5)
Carolina is 27-8 ATS versus teams scoring 17 PPG or less. The Panthers have also cashed 51 of 79 against losing teams. Oakland is 1-9 ATS versus the NFC and 11-24 as home dogs.
CHIEFS (1-7, 4-4) at CHARGERS (3-5 SU&ATS)
The underdog is 5-11 SU but 10-6 ATS in this AFC-West competition. San Diego has 'covered' 11 of its last 14 division clashes. The Chargers are 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS off a bye. In addition, they have cashed six straight versus teams yielding 24 PPG or worse. Kansas City is 6-0 as double-digit dogs and 7-0 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in two straight games. The SU winner is 23-3-2 ATS.
COLTS (4-4 3-5) at STEELERS (5-2 3-3-1 prior to Monday)
Indianapolis is 19-6 SU and 15-9 ATS in its last 25 outings in November. Pittsburgh has come up short in eight of its last 10 in November, pending Monday's game. The Colts are 8-0 ATS versus good rushing defenses-allowing three yards per rush or less. However, they have dropped 13 of 18 spread decisions after winning by three points or less. Indianapolis has eclipsed the 'total' in seven of nine as road dogs and the Colts have been on the high side in 11 of 14 on the highway off a division win.
GIANTS (7-1, 5-3) at EAGLES (5-3 SU&ATS)
Philadelphia has won and 'covered' three of four at home this season while allowing just 11.5 PPG. The New York Giants have cashed eight of their last nine against winning teams. The defending champs are 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS on the road. The dog has cashed in the past six series showdowns. New York has dipped 'under' in 24 of 34 as underdogs in November. The Eagles have gone 'under' in 13 of 17 as favorites.
RAVENS (5-3, 6-2) at TEXANS (3-5, 2-6)
Baltimore has cashed three of four on the road this season after going 0-8 ATS last season. The Ravens are 14-4 ATS after winning SU as dogs. Houston is 17-10 ATS after losing by 10 points or less. The Texans have failed at a 16-27-1 clip ATS versus non-division opponents. Baltimore has knuckled 'under' in 15 of 19 on the road after scoring 28 points or more.
Good luck everyone ;)
USC
