NFL Week #8 Handicapping and Trends Report
Ok guys, as promised to help everyone get the most accurate NFL info and make this Losers League even more competitive here is this week's handicapping trends report from my accunt at Donbest Sports:
By Jimmy Sirody
Don Best Senior Writer
The Indianapolis Colts (3-3 SU&ATS) are usually the team that's been chasing perfection, while the Tennessee Titans (6-0 SU&ATS) played catch up in the AFC South. The roles will be reversed Monday night when the unbeaten Titans host the Colts and look to widen the gap in the division chase and stamp themselves as the best team in the AFC.
Tennessee has rolled over six straight suspect opponents, and even though the Colts are only 3-3, this will be the acid test for coach Jeff Fisher's upstarts.
One thing's for sure - this figures to be a close affair. The last four series encounters have been decided by a grand total of 12 points. Indianapolis has won eight of nine versus the Titans, coming away with a 22-20 win in its last visit as 7-point favorites. However, Tennessee has grabbed the green in the last four encounters.
The Titans are 18-6 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. They have also cashed 12 of their last 14 against division foes. Tennessee has struggled as home favorites, dropping 22 of 32 while laying 3 1/2 to 7 points.
Indianapolis has thrived against top-level opposition (win percentage of 75 or more), cashing eight straight.
The Colts have slipped in three of their last four as Monday night road dogs while the Titans have cashed at a 7-4-1 clip as home favorites under the spotlight.
Trends and angles for the remainder of the Week 8 NFL schedule appear below.
RAIDERS (2-4, 3-3) at RAVENS (3-3, 4-2)
The positive trends are in Baltimore's favor against Oakland. The Ravens have cashed 16 of 18 as non-division home favorites off a SU win and 30 of 43 at M&T Bank Stadium versus non-division opponents. The Raiders are 17-27 ATS on the road. They have also come up short in 14 of 18 ATS after allowing 375 or more total yards in two straight games. Oakland has ducked 'under' in nine of 10 games during Weeks 5-9. The Raiders have zipped 'over' at a 13-4-1 clip after winning SU as dogs. Baltimore has bounced 'under' at a 13-7-1 pace after winning SU as short-enders.
CHARGERS (3-4 SU&ATS) versus SAINTS (3-4, 4-3) @ London
San Diego has cashed eight straight versus good offensive teams who average more than 5.65 yards per play. The Chargers are also 16-5 ATS on grass and 14-4-2 ATS off a SU loss. San Diego has been on the high side in 23 of 31 as non-conference favorites.
CHIEFS (1-5, 2-4) at JETS (3-3 SU&ATS)
Kansas City has failed to 'cover' in 14 of 18 road games against AFC-East opponents. The New York Jets are 17-11 ATS at home, but just 17-35 ATS at home off a road loss and 4-9-1 ATS after losing by three points or less. The Chiefs have knuckled 'under' in 25 of their last 40 conference tests and at a 7-13-1 clip as road dogs.
BILLS (5-1, 4-2) at DOLPHINS (2-4, 3-3)
Buffalo has won seven of its last eight against Miami and cashed eight straight. The Bills have lost eight of their last 13 at Dolphins Stadium. Buffalo is 8-2 ATS on the division road and it has 'covered' eight straight versus teams with a losing record. But the Bills are only 3-9-1 as division favorites on the highway. Miami is 4-15 ATS versus division opponents.
BUCS (5-2 SU&ATS) at COWBOYS (4-3, 2-5)
Dallas has cashed eight straight off a SU loss before facing the New York Giants. The Cowboys are 21-9-1 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less as well. Tampa Bay has faltered in 20 of 25 ATS on the road versus non-division foes. The Bucs are 2-9 ATS off back-to-back SU wins versus teams outside the NFC-South. Dallas has eclipsed the 'total' at a 21-8-1 pace at home after a SU and ATS loss. Tampa Bay has ducked 'under' in 37 of 55 games after allowing 10 points or less.
FALCONS (4-2 SU&ATS) at EAGLES (3-3 SU&ATS)
Atlanta has dropped eight straight ATS versus good offensive teams, averaging 5.65 yards per play. The Falcons are 12-24-2 ATS after winning by three points or less. Philadelphia has ducked 'under' in 25 of its last 35 home tests in October and in 17 of 20 off a bye. The Eagles have also been on the low side in 14 of 15 as home favorites of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Atlanta has strayed below the number in 14 of 19 as road dogs of 7 points or more and in 17 of 25 on the highway outside its division.
RAMS (2-4 SU&ATS) at PATRIOTS (3-2, 2-3 prior to Monday)
New England has prospered against the NFC-West, cashing 11 straight. The Patriots are 38-14-2 as non-division home favorites while St. Louis is 12-29-2 ATS on the road outside the NFC-West. The Rams are 2-13 as dogs off a double-digit spread win versus a non-division foe. New England has topped the 'total' in eight of 12 as favorites of 7 points or more and St. Louis has been on the high side in 18 of 27 as non-conference short-enders. However, the Patriots have dipped 'under' in 12 of 18 at home against NFC opposition.
CARDINALS (4-2 SU&ATS) at PANTHERS (5-2, 4-2-1)
Arizona hasn't adjusted well to prosperity. The Cardinals are 5-18 ATS after winning four or five of their last six games. Arizona has 'covered' 12 of 18 off a bye. The Cardinals are 9-23 ATS on the road versus non-division rivals. Carolina is 38-14 ATS versus bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points per game. The Panthers have slipped 'under' in 20 of 29 games after allowing 10 points or less and in 14 of 19 after winning by 14 or more. They have also been on the low side in nine straight after winning two of three.
REDSKINS (5-2, 4-3) at LIONS (0-6, 2-4)
Washington is 31-10 ATS versus poor rushing teams that average less than 90 yards per game. Detroit is 11-2 ATS at home off five or more consecutive losses. The Skins have slithered 'under' in 10 of 15 as non-division road chalk.
BROWNS (2-4 3-2-1) at JACKSONVILLE (3-3, 2-4)
Cleveland has 'covered' 10 straight after playing its last game on the road. The Browns are also 14-3 ATS on grass and 6-0 ATS off a road loss. Jacksonville has 'covered' at a 29-13-1 clip outside the AFC-South. The Jaguars have popped 'over' in 12 of 15 when the number was between 35 1/2 and 42 and in 10 straight after winning three of four games.
GIANTS (5-1, 3-3) at STEELERS (4-2, 3-2-1)
The New York Giants have cashed 10 of their last dozen on the road. Pittsburgh is 27-9 ATS versus top-level teams (win percentage of 75 of more). The Steelers are 0-8 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. Pittsburgh has zoomed 'over' in 10 of 12 as home favorites of seven or less.
SEAHAWKS (1-5, 2-4) at 49ERS (2-5, 3-4)
Seattle gets the first chance this season at revenge. San Francisco prevailed in the initial clash as 9 1/2-point road dogs, 33-30. The Seahawks have won and cashed four of their last six at Monster Park. The 49ers are 1-8 ATS after playing their last game on the road and 6-13 ATS at home after allowing 28 points or more. The 'under' has cashed at a 7-3-1 clip in the past 11 series showdowns. Seattle has stayed 'under' in 27 of its last 35 road outings in October.
BENGALS (0-7, 2-5) at TEXANS (2-4, 1-5)
Cincinnati is 7-20 ATS off a loss by 21 points or more. Houston is 4-15 ATS off a home win. The Bengals have bounced 'over' in 18 of 22 after six or more consecutive setbacks. The Texans have topped the 'total' in their first six games this season.
Now have fun guys and make your best pick!!!
USC ;)
