NFL: Week 7 Trends

Ok, due to popular demand and given that we are starting a new LL League, I will post the Trends report once again for the upcoming NFL weekend and maybe this way help us all in making better loser picks, LOL

By Jimmy Sirody
Don Best Senior Writer

The New Orleans Saints (3-3, 4-2) have to like their chances of winning back-to-back games for the first time this season when they travel to Carolina (4-2, 3-2-1) for a key Week 7 NFC-South showdown.

The Saints are currently sitting in the division basement, but are just one-game behind the Panthers, Tampa Bay and Atlanta following a blowout home victory over hapless Oakland, 34-3.

The dog in this fierce rivalry has won 11 of the past 14 meetings SU and cashed 13 of 14. New Orleans is 22-4 ATS on the highway when facing a division foe and is 13-2-1 as division road pups.

Carolina lost six of eight at home in 2007, but the Panthers are 3-0 at Bank of America Stadium this season. Coach John Fox' crew will be looking to bounce back after a 27-3 thumping at Tampa Bay.

The Panthers are 24-13-1 ATS off a double-digit loss.

New Orleans and Carolina have been on the low side in eight of the past 11 series showdowns. The Panthers have ducked 'under' in 16 straight games as division home favorites. The Saints have topped the total in 14 of 20 off a SU win.

Trends and angles for the remainder of the NFL Week 7 menu appear below.

TITANS (5-0 SU&ATS) at CHIEFS (1-4, 2-3)

The Tennessee Titans are the only unbeaten team in the AFC, standing out like a zit in a Revlon commercial. However, there are reasons to think Kansas City could be a spoiler. The Chiefs are 37-13-2 as home dogs and they have 'covered' 19 of 28 after losing by 14 more. In addition, lowly Kansas City is 21-9-2 ATS at Arrowhead Stadium after allowing 30 points or more. Tennessee is 3-9-1 ATS after winning by three or less. The Chiefs have zipped 'over' in 11 of 14 at home off a double-digit loss.

CHARGERS (3-3 SU&ATS) at BILLS (4-1, 3-2)

San Diego, coming off an impressive Sunday night win over New England, hits the road to face a well-rested Buffalo crew looking to bounce back off its first loss of the season. The Chargers have 'covered' 13 of their last 18 as road favorites of 3 1/2 or less. The Bills are 5-10 as home dogs off a SU loss. San Diego has eclipsed the 'total' in 16 of 22 road games after scoring 28 points or more.

STEELERS (3-2, 2-2-1) at BENGALS (0-6, 2-4)

Pittsburgh has won and cashed 12 of 15 at Cincinnati and the road team is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 encounters. The Steelers are 19-7-2 ATS when facing a division foe on the highway. The struggling Bengals are 7-18 as home dogs off a road game. The past six showdowns at Paul Brown Stadium have slipped 'under.'

RAVENS (2-3, 3-2) at DOLPHINS (2-3, 3-2)

Baltimore has lost and failed to cash 22 of its last 29 on the road and the Ravens are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 on the highway. They have cashed 13 of 21 away from home after scoring 14 points or less. Miami is 8-17 ATS at home outside the AFC-East. The Dolphins have ducked 'under' in 21 of 30 as home favorites of 3 1/2 or less. Baltimore has been on the low side in 17 of 25 on the road after losing by 14 points or more.

COWBOYS (4-2, 2-4) at RAMS (1-4 SU&ATS)

Dallas is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games dating back to 2007. The Cowboys have also failed at a 10-23-1 clip as double-digit favorites. St. Louis is 9-19-2 ATS after winning SU as dogs. Dallas has blown 'over' in 16 of 22 on the road versus a non-division foe and the Rams have followed suit in 15 of 24 as double-digit pups.

VIKES (2-4 SU&ATS) at BEARS (3-3, 3-2-1)

The underdog has grabbed the green in 17 of the past 20 meetings between these NFC-North rivals. Chicago is 14-7-2 ATS against division foes, but just 14-24-2 ATS off a SU loss as favorites. Minnesota has topped the 'total' at an 18-8-1 clip as division road dogs. However, the Vikings have ducked 'under' in 28 of 44 off a SU win. The Bears have knuckled 'under' at a 14-28-1 rate off a SU and ATS loss.

49ERS (2-4 SU&ATS) at GIANTS (4-0, 3-1 prior to Monday)

San Francisco is 2-10 ATS after scoring 21 or more and losing SU. The 49ers have also come up short at an 8-24-1 pace when playing in the Eastern Time Zone. San Francisco has skipped 'under' in 11 of 15 on the road after allowing 28 points or more. The New York Giants have gone 'under' in six of eight as double-digit favorites.

LIONS (0-5, 1-4) at TEXANS

Houston is 8-19 ATS off a SU win and 4-14 ATS off a home win. The Texans have also floundered at a 16-25-1 clip outside their division. They have cashed at a 14-6-1 pace off two straight spread losses. Detroit has zipped 'over' in 12 of its past 18 as road dogs.

JETS (3-2 SU&ATS) at RAIDERS (1-4, 2-3)

The New York Jets are 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS on the road when facing a non-division opponent. The Jets have 'covered' at a 10-5-1 rate on the road off a double-digit win. Oakland is 10-21 as home dogs and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 at home when the line was between minus-three and plus-three. New York has slipped 'under' at a 10-20-1 pace off a SU win by seven or more. The Raiders have strayed below the number in 13 of 20 contests as dogs of three or less.

BROWNS (1-3, 1-2-1 prior to Monday) at SKINS (4-2 SU&ATS)

Cleveland is 12-6-1 as road dogs of seven or more. However, the Browns have stumbled at a 5-11-1 rate on the highway when tackling an NFC opponent. Washington is 8-16-1 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Skins have also failed in 14 of 19 as double-digit home chalk and in 12 off 18 ATS after losing SU as favorites. Cleveland has dipped 'under' in 14 of 17 as non-conference dogs and Washington in 10 of 14 as non-conference favorites.

COLTS (3-2 SU&ATS) at PACKERS (3-3 SU&ATS)

Indianapolis is 16-6 as non-conference favorites and 24-14-2 ATS after scoring 28 or more points. The Colts have zipped 'over' at a 22-15-1 rate on the road versus a non-division opponent.

SEAHAWKS (1-4 SU&ATS) at BUCS (4-2, 5-1)

Tampa Bay has cashed five straight, the longest current spread winning streak in the NFC. The Bucs are 33-17-1 ATS at home versus a non-division foe. They have come up short in 12 of 18 ATS after allowing 10 points or less. Seattle is 4-14-1 as non-division road dogs. The Seahawks have tumbled 'under' in 25 of 33 October road outings. They have eclipsed the 'total' at a 23-11-1 rate on the road outside the NFL-West. Tampa Bay has dipped 'under' in 20 of 27 as home favorites.

BRONCOS (4-2, 2-4) at PATRIOTS (3-2, 2-3)

Denver is 31-19-1 as dogs. The Broncos have failed in seven of eight Monday road tests ATS off a SU loss. New England is 38-15-2 as non-division home chalk. The Patriots have cashed 14 of 19 after allowing 28 points or more and 20 of 26 off a SU loss.


Have fun everyone,

USC ;)